Posted by Mike McWilliams on September 13, 2005, 10:15 am
Derek Broughton wrote:
> Mike McWilliams wrote:
>
>
>>Steve Spence wrote:
>>
>>>Too_Many_Tools wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>Considering that power is still out for many of the those affected by
>>>>hurricane Katrina and will be for some time, I would be curious to hear
>>>>from the group what alternative power system they would recommend for
>>>>someone sitting in the middle of this still unfolding nightmare...for
>>>>the next time a hurricane visits.
>>>
>>>Wind, PV, and a diesel generator. The wind and PV will reduce their fuel
>>>usage on the diesel.
>>>
>>
>>it's probably more practical to just mention the diesel generator, any
>>wind system probably would have been ripped out, and PV is so expensive
>>you would be better off buying two diesel generators, or just buying
>>extra diesel.
>
>
> I'm not so sure about the wind turbine. My self-installed Air-X survived a
> Category 2 hurricane, so a properly done professional one should be good
> for _most_ hurricanes - obviously Katrina wasn't _most_ hurricanes, either.
>
> I'd think the PV is a worse risk in a hurricane - they have beautiful
> surfaces for catching a wind.
>
> On the whole, though, I agree. Installing wind & PV _just_ for emergency
> backup seems like a poor risk. But you'd better have a few weeks diesel on
> hand.
I was mostly objecting to the high cost of PV. It takes almost 20 years
of fully productive days to repay the energy it cost to manufacture the
PV panels in the first place. If you are in an emergency situation, more
gallons of diesel would be more useful, and provide power at a much
faster rate.
Posted by Tim Keating on September 13, 2005, 12:17 pm
On Tue, 13 Sep 2005 08:15:55 -0600, Mike McWilliams
>Derek Broughton wrote:
>> Mike McWilliams wrote:
>>
>>
>>>Steve Spence wrote:
>>>
>>>>Too_Many_Tools wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>Considering that power is still out for many of the those affected by
>>>>>hurricane Katrina and will be for some time, I would be curious to hear
>>>>>from the group what alternative power system they would recommend for
>>>>>someone sitting in the middle of this still unfolding nightmare...for
>>>>>the next time a hurricane visits.
>>>>
>>>>Wind, PV, and a diesel generator. The wind and PV will reduce their fuel
>>>>usage on the diesel.
>>>>
>>>
>>>it's probably more practical to just mention the diesel generator, any
>>>wind system probably would have been ripped out, and PV is so expensive
>>>you would be better off buying two diesel generators, or just buying
>>>extra diesel.
>>
>>
>> I'm not so sure about the wind turbine. My self-installed Air-X survived a
>> Category 2 hurricane, so a properly done professional one should be good
>> for _most_ hurricanes - obviously Katrina wasn't _most_ hurricanes, either.
>>
>> I'd think the PV is a worse risk in a hurricane - they have beautiful
>> surfaces for catching a wind.
>>
>> On the whole, though, I agree. Installing wind & PV _just_ for emergency
>> backup seems like a poor risk. But you'd better have a few weeks diesel on
>> hand.
>I was mostly objecting to the high cost of PV. It takes almost 20 years
>of fully productive days to repay the energy it cost to manufacture the
>PV panels in the first place. If you are in an emergency situation, more
>gallons of diesel would be more useful, and provide power at a much
>faster rate.
A deception..
http://www.ecotopia.com/apollo2/pvlever.htm
June 2000: paper... demostrates that payback for production PV modules
ranges from 2-3 years and energy output varies between 9-17 times the
input.
http://www.nrel.gov/ncpv/energy_payback.html
"What is the Energy Payback for PV?"
"Other recent calculations support Alsema's figures. Based on a solar-
grade feedstock, Japanese researchers Kato et al. calculated a
multi-crystalline payback of about 2 years (adjusted for the U.S.
solar resource). Palz and Zibetta also calculated an energy payback of
about 2 years for current multicrystalline-silicon PV."
I.E. 2 to 3 years for a PV panel oriented at latitude using average
solar raditaion data for the lower 48(states). PV payback time drops
by upwards of 3 fold depending on location and/or usage of tracking.
Posted by jjj_soper on September 13, 2005, 4:01 pm
Tim Keating wrote:
> A deception..
> http://www.ecotopia.com/apollo2/pvlever.htm
> June 2000: paper... demostrates that payback for production PV modules
> ranges from 2-3 years and energy output varies between 9-17 times the
> input.
> I.E. 2 to 3 years for a PV panel oriented at latitude using average
> solar raditaion data for the lower 48(states). PV payback time drops
> by upwards of 3 fold depending on location and/or usage of tracking.
I'm confused, if the energy payback time is so quick, why are PV panels
so expensive? Is it due to raw materials, the sand that provides the
silcon plus some chemicals (seems unlikely)? Is it the manpower
involved? Is it the energy needed to purify the sand and all the
succeeding steps? If it's energy, can't a production facility be built
in a sunny state that runs on PV cells? They do get them at cost.
What determines the high price of PV cells?
And I don't buy that increasing-demand-will-someday-lower-costs
arguement. Plenty of other industries start out losing money and
quickly make it up in volume. The PV industry has had 20+ years to
break that logjam.
Posted by Steve Spence on September 13, 2005, 5:48 pm
jjj_soper@hotmail.com wrote:
> I'm confused, if the energy payback time is so quick, why are PV panels
> so expensive? Is it due to raw materials, the sand that provides the
> silcon plus some chemicals (seems unlikely)? Is it the manpower
> involved? Is it the energy needed to purify the sand and all the
> succeeding steps? If it's energy, can't a production facility be built
> in a sunny state that runs on PV cells? They do get them at cost.
> What determines the high price of PV cells?
growing the crystals and cutting the wafers (lots of loss) is expensive.
low volume production also contributes.
--
Steve Spence
Dir., Green Trust, http://www.green-trust.org
Contributing Editor, http://www.off-grid.net
http://www.rebelwolf.com/essn.html
Posted by jjj_soper on September 13, 2005, 5:58 pm
Steve Spence wrote:
> growing the crystals and cutting the wafers (lots of loss) is expensive.
> low volume production also contributes.
OK, then why is growing the crystals and the loss from cutting wafers
expensive?
Is it the cost of raw materials, energy, or manpower? If it's energy,
which I suspect it is, wouldn't that contradict the energy payback
figures?
Low volume production would be high volume if the price was less.
>
>
>>Steve Spence wrote:
>>
>>>Too_Many_Tools wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>Considering that power is still out for many of the those affected by
>>>>hurricane Katrina and will be for some time, I would be curious to hear
>>>>from the group what alternative power system they would recommend for
>>>>someone sitting in the middle of this still unfolding nightmare...for
>>>>the next time a hurricane visits.
>>>
>>>Wind, PV, and a diesel generator. The wind and PV will reduce their fuel
>>>usage on the diesel.
>>>
>>
>>it's probably more practical to just mention the diesel generator, any
>>wind system probably would have been ripped out, and PV is so expensive
>>you would be better off buying two diesel generators, or just buying
>>extra diesel.
>
>
> I'm not so sure about the wind turbine. My self-installed Air-X survived a
> Category 2 hurricane, so a properly done professional one should be good
> for _most_ hurricanes - obviously Katrina wasn't _most_ hurricanes, either.
>
> I'd think the PV is a worse risk in a hurricane - they have beautiful
> surfaces for catching a wind.
>
> On the whole, though, I agree. Installing wind & PV _just_ for emergency
> backup seems like a poor risk. But you'd better have a few weeks diesel on
> hand.